By: George
So it’s been a long road but you’ve finally made the decision to pursue an MBA. Congratulations! Now there are a couple of things you might want to take into the consideration when making the next decision about when you actually start your future MBA. As usual, please keep in mind that following are just my personal subjective thoughts and may or may not work for you and are definitely not meant to act as
de facto rules.
In this blog post I will discuss couple of potential factors that
might affect the ROI of your MBA investment. In particular I will focus on those factors which are associated with the timing of an MBA: such as current economic conditions, your age and years of experience.
Following discussion is going to based on a 12 month MBA program format as that’s the type of program I am currently attending here at Ivey. You might also find it interesting that one of the reasons why I chose Ivey was because it is a bit easier to plan around since it’s only a one year program. Shorter program means lower probability that economic conditions are going to shift drastically while I am at school affecting my career search strategy.
First, let’s talk about global economic conditions or at least economic conditions of a country that you are planning to start your post-MBA career at. Even though I was not able to find any empirical data to confirm this, one can probably sense that the type of jobs that a brand new MBA grad would be going after are a bit tougher to find during a period of economic recession as compared to a period of prosperity. It is especially true for the high paying consulting and investment banking jobs; those types of jobs are highly correlated to the GDP growth. Having said there are still all kinds of jobs available during a recession. Industry jobs are usually much less dependent on the economic cycles (See following
interview). What the economic slowdown or a recession means is that MBA grads would typically have to be much more proactive in their job search, orienting their search towards the hidden job market. Unfortunately, there might be some unforeseen consequences associated with graduating during the tough times: "
A growing body of research on both MBAs and undergrads suggests that graduating into an economic downturn will substantially reduce lifetime earnings" (BusinessWeek).
Furthermore, I’m going to take a subjective view that Canadian economy is still
tightly coupled closely to US economy (good thing that
IMF agrees). If you combine that with the fact that US economic recessions has lasted on average
11 months with longer ones taking up to 16 months to unwind and are typically followed by an average of 57 months of economic expansion. The logical conclusion would be that the best way to start your Ivey MBA would be within a year or two after a recession has passed. That appears to be the best way to capitalize on ones investment if that would be the only factor that you are looking at. (
Recipe 1: Add a one US Recession, wait for it to cook for 11-16 months, and then add the Ivey MBA within a year or two)
To make it a bit more fun, there are a couple of other factors that get added to the mix. Years of experience appears to be another good one to look at. This one is particularly interesting one for me personally, as I only have three years which is on the lower end of the curve for Ivey. Talking to number of people in the industry and
Career Management team at Ivey, the optimal number of years appears to fall in the range of 3-5 years. You would get the biggest % boost to you salary. Lets assume that the average salary for 4 years of experience would fall somewhere around $60,000 per year and even if you get the average $85,000 salary upon graduation that’s a 42% boost to your salary. Not bad! However if you wait another 3-4 years and you are already making around $75-80K/year, the starting salary might not be that much higher than what you had going in. I also know couple of people that came in expecting pay cuts right after the MBA, hoping that MBA will ultimately act as a strategic tool which will help to increase the longer term salary ceiling. 4-5 years of experience in would also allow you to take the full advantage of the learning opportunity available at Ivey. (
Recipe2: add 4-5 years of solid experience and the Ivey MBA, mix well)
The last thing I’m going to mention is role of one’s age. I will be honest; being on either extreme of the age spectrum has its potential challenges. For one, it might be a bit harder to “
connect” with your classmates. Having said that there are enough people with diverse backgrounds and in various age groups that there’s always opportunities to socialize and form life-long friendships. (
Recipe3: Be yourself and respect others, age matters not)
So let me quickly recap this post: Years of solid work experience is probably the single most important factor contributing to the high ROI of an MBA. Graduating during a recession – a bit more stressful but doable none the less. Those are universal factors that might affect you ROI in Ivey, there are certainly variety of other factors such as personality, ability to learn, etc that also affect ROI as well, but they are much more individual, and therefore I can’t speak to those.
Having said all of this, keep in mind that there are always exceptions to every rule, as correctly pointed out by an Anonymous reader of this blog. The example that comes to mind is the one from our Venture Creation elective class when we had a chance to talk to couple of Ivey grads who founded a successful business right after their graduation (
PolicePrep).
I hope you found info in this post useful.
Till next time,
George
P.S.S. For those of you wondering, I did not end up buying the Asus Eee laptop. I had horrible experience trying to purchase it online at The Source by Circuit city which totally screwed up my online order loosing it in the process, so I’ve decided to hold off on that purchase until I can find an easier way to buy it (read not involving
The Source)